PINNACLE  Bray - St Patricks » DRAW @ 3.80 3/10
Just followed my hunsch here. Bray it's onfire finally they started to get good results, also it's truth that they got good results against not good teams on the league but imo it's enought to get confidence and play their best soccer tomorrow against a Saints who started well this season. I think a draw will be more possible results, even more than Away and odds are enough good to take the risk to me....
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PINNACLE  Bohemians - Derry » Bohemians @ 3.33 6/10
I'll insist against Derry one more time. They played on may 12 , may 15 and today may18. They haven't a big bench, most players are doing a big effort here so as visitors today I see that they can't take more victories (as secure bet could be DNB @2.12) I took more risk placing the units on host as i think they are capable to manage Derry in this circunstances even without good results playing at home. This it's a good opportunity to them to give joy to their fans in their stadium....
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PINNACLE  Shamrock - Drogheda » Shamrock (-0.75) @ 1.81 8/10
Come on Sham it's champion, they have pretty good team... Odds are very high to me ... They can't win a game in last 4 games it's true but it's worth try one more time cuz they know that Sligo Rovers it's taking adventage (8 points till now) and even St Patricks it's 2 points above, so Shamrock Rovers have to react, they will do I'm sure, hope they start at home and tomorrow....
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EXPEKT  Pfullendorf - Waldhof Mannheim » 1 (Halftime) @ 3.15 6/10
It's like Austrian pick.  In this match Pfullendorf needs a victory and wait that Memmingen who have 2 more points, loses his match. Only with that result Pfullendorf  will keep their division league.  It's in first half the time that I believes Pfullendorf will make the difference, second half could be different if they notice that their Memmingem it's winning his game I felt more secure in austrian pick, for that reason I picked 2 units more in the other match....
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Unibet  Lustenau - Hartberg » 1 (Halftime) @ 1.90 8/10
2 relegation places (last round of the season) FC Lustenau 37 points - First Vienna 36 points - Hartberg 24 points. First at all First Viennaplays against BWLinz as visitor, a hard match but if they win FC Lustenau have to win too to keep in first league, so they have to start playing with all their heart against weakest team on league. Hartberg draw 1-1 First vienna and won 1-2 as visitors this season. Against Lustenau they lost 0-3 and now they play as visitors, so which team prefer Hartberg to play in the league of relegation in the next season ???  Hartberg without motivation cuz they are relegated playing out of home against a team who needs a victory to be sure that they will stay on this league. To me first half will be more secure than all the game cuz if they know that First Vienna it's losing they will relax...
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PINNACLE  Monterrey - Santos » Monterrey @ 1.84 10/10
As usual I made my bet on Monterrey. At home they are best team on Mexico. Don't forget that they played in Concacaf Champions league, Monterrey won 2-0 at home, later they won that tournament. Santos Laguna isn't very strong specially in defense so I think Monterrey will score easily and maybe we can see goals of Laguna but for sure less than home team...
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Summer soccer
Hello, I want to write some words after the experience of summer games past year when I lost lot of money following some good tipsters.Today I really put in doubt if summer soccer en Europe is really profitable for most of tipsters. Now we will have lot of games of unknown cups, leagues, etc... but the first question I ask to myself... why a tipster should be expert on this kind of games and cups? is the tipster really and seriously finding value or just don't want to stop gambling?Gambling is a strong word, I use to listen "professional gambler" or "professional poker player". Until now, professional to me is a word reserved for other kind of purposes, related mostly to academic objectives, so its not a actually a profession, maybe it can be a discipline, a work, a passion, etc. and the intensity of this should come from the compromise the person (tipster, poker player) puts on what is he doing. Anyways, if we accept the word, to me, is not a "professional" act to take decisions without a strong knowledge about what you are doing, and is not professional to put in risk people that maybe are trusting on you. For example, using the same word professional, will you ask a cardiologist to make a surgery in your brain? Of course not, because is not his speciality, that's why there are cardiologists and neurologists (specifically neurosurgeon). Same here, why if a tipster is, let's say professional, will be confident in finding profit in summer leagues, summer cups, that aren't of their whole understanding?I wanted to write this message as an alert, I am not saying that there is no chance of finding value in the games that will come now, of course there is an open door, even because bookmakers maybe are not as prepared as with other kind of games. I don't know, but what I know is that just a general idea of each team, a general idea of the players involved and just statistics are not enough to get value in long run, bookmakers for sure are managing that basic variables and much more and will get our money if we fall into the trap. And finally, as you know when summer is going in Europe, in South America winter is coming, so at least on this blog things will not change too much next weeks. Have a good summer,K. ...
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1 day ago   Like  Comment

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  GK47 Many issues raised, some of which are rather philosophical; so, I will not touch them, fearing that other tipsters might not like such discussions. Regarding the summer leagues, my impression is that they are tricky. It is often difficult to obtain early information about them and to judge its importance; plus, they often require a betting approach that does not fit the leagues one usually follows during the winter (for example, summer leagues usually involve teams that are not that professionally organized). I would not say that long-term profit is not possible; in principle, every league can be profitable. However, one has to be very cautious.
  1 day ago

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  oddsmaker "I don't know, but what I know is that just a general idea of each team, a general idea of the players involved and just statistics are not enough to get value in long run, bookmakers for sure are managing that basic variables and much more and will get our money if we fall into the trap." FALSE. It is strange that often people when do not understand some things say that something is impossible. Kawabunga I have a big respect for you but please do not be an ignorant. Good Luck, oddsmaker.
  1 day ago

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  Kawabunga Hey Maudit, nice symbol about philosophy, and better if its coming from someone of the motherland of classic philosophy. Eventually it touches that I am ignorant, and its very true, nothing better that being ignorant and I'm very proud of it, it makes me calm about how person I am and how many mistakes I will make and there's nothing wrong, anyways... I would prefer, with the same respect I have to you oddsmaker, that you expose some statistical and/or mathematical system that works itself creating profit, without qualitative variables involved, because yes I am very far of understanding this, it would be nice to have that knowledge, that way I could go to the beach or to get a drink while my betting algorithm against bookmakers is working for me creating odds for tomorrow =)
  1 day ago

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  GK47 Hey, Kawa! I did not want to insult you (especially, I would not call you "ignorant") or to say that philosophical discussions are not interesting (and even useful). I simply tried to say that other people may not want to get their page clattered by long texts on such tissues; and I feel obliged to respect their wishes and to restrict myself to betting information. For example, I do not agree with your understanding of the word "professional"; but how many people would like to know about my objections to it? Anyway, I will write you a PM later (perhaps tomorrow, as it is very late here). No reason for such a misunderstanding, I do not think I have shown such an aggressive intend in the past. ;)
  1 day ago

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  GK47 In fact, I even agreed with you, that summer leagues are rather problematic. Simply, I did not want to go as far as you did in your pessimistic conclusions...
  1 day ago

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  Kawabunga Hey Maudit, I apologize I understood good your comment, the only part that I writed for you was about how nice is to share some thoughts with someone of the lands of classic philosophy, then I writed to oddsmaker, misunderstood that I did not separate both answers, I'm sorry. I agree that here is better to simplify comments.
  1 day ago

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  The-Insider Could really not understand what about you were talking Kawa? Summer League? What is this? And what is the difference in a league that is played in so called summer? For example in Finland? What shall they do? Play in January, frozen pitch -12°C... Surely they will play an open are sports like football when the weather is better. The leagues are not played on these days and months so that June-July-August turns into summer leagues. Or the other times are winter leagues. This is just because of the weather. Nothing else. And to be honest, a German 2nd League match played in January under snow with a bad pitch is harder to predict than a Finland or Sweden League match played on a day with no rain or snow and better pitch at 17°C in July-August! Just my opinion... If you are talking about knowledge, not knowing these leagues etc. Just like someone can know local information about Ecuador or Bolivia, some other guy can know about Norway 2nd, Finland 3rd Leagues etc.
  
  Myself, i'm a professional bettor, not a gambler to be honest, have no clue about poker or casinos etc. Just betting. 50-60% live betting. 40-50% early betting. As the European Leagues that i like betting on more and higher stakes and concentrate more on are usually ending in May, this means my hard working days are also ending those months. Still, just like in June-July on a beach in Spain, watching the European Championship or World Cup and betting for fun. (i dont bet on national teams high) This fun, is not just for June-July-August on spanish coasts! This fun continues all the year long whenever you want to rest, maybe in April in Philippines or some October in Mozambique or November in Barbados... It all depends on you, your wife. If you have lovely kids like me, then it depends more on them but talking about business, and talking about betting calenders. There is no summer league or something like that. Summer changes for the point of view. In Finland, 15 Degree and this is so called summer. Wish you luck in a lake with 15°C outside temperature! And in Egypt, did you ever visit Sharm El Sheikh in August. Would not advice! Thats why, just like Equatorial Countries are used to live some other life and climate, you, me, and even south and north parts of Europe etc, all are used to live different climates and the reason why there are - as you called - summer leagues, this is summer league for others, not for them. For them and for everyone else, league are played only at the right months of the year in that countries. Just like you can not let the players play open area sports like football in Dubai on a 44°C July afternoon. This would kill the players and fans.
  
  To keep it short, there is no summer league. This is just so called. And as far and hard as it can be for a Iceland living guy to find good information for Bolivian League, this far and hard it can be for a Bolivian Guy to find good information for Iceland League. Your comment; "Now we will have lot of games of unknown cups, leagues, etc..." For sure... For you, unknown. But not for locals, not for people who bet on these leagues.
  
  Wish you luck all the months and hope you keep your blog profitable forever but it is always better to have the experience and then to talk. You may lost because of some tipsters you followed but you not blame them.
  
  I also have a big number of paid services on my list. Round 50 services! Known ones, terrible ones, good ones etc. Even round 5-10 maybe from Blogabet. But some i was member before Blogabet. Later i saw them here too. For promoting i guess. Still member of them. And daily at least 50 to 100 picks i get, from which some i bet blindly and some i fade the tipster and some i just skip. I know their results. I know when Teddie or Benny will win or lose. I know Lakini, Macot, Milos. I know all these and more guys for years long. Some are quality, some are expensive but worth, some are just names but i still pay and get their tips to see what they are doing, whether improving etc.
  
  And i can tell you, for -your name- Summer Football, you should not care for some England League Two expert who just sends you England League Two picks, not even Championship League picks all the season but then, when League Two comes to an end, he starts sending Swedish Picks! Thats wrong. You can not follow him! But there are many local people, just like someone who picks only England League One and Two, and when the season is over, he rests till the next season starts. He rests and he works on the league, the team changes, the board changes, the training camps etc. But just like him in England, someone else in Sweden, in Japan etc, the same happens there. There are also good sources and paid services and good tipsters. That you need to find and follow. Round 15 years in this business, i surely can not name any tipster cause even you for example, or Soyloco. Perfect knowledge. But asian markets and betting on these league, it is death! The more members, the more followers you guys have, the worse the lines get so fast. And it makes no sense. That's why my opinion, paid service owners that have the knowledge for low limit leagues, have to keep their monthly membership high and keep the number of members low. What is the target? You want to make monthly 10.000? Dont make it 50 Euro times 200 members! Try to make it 500 Euro x 20 members! Easier to follow, less odds changes as at least 10 of this 20 members will bet local companies, asian lines will not change so big and every customer will be happy. Just as the memberships are a way to cheap in this business right now, the well known tipsters (not talking about guys like Macot or so. These can have 1000 members but lines will not change much as they pick high limit leagues offered everywhere) for not much followed and bet on leagues are also to cheap and they get to many members. As a result, if i say now, for sweden? try this guy... Then will 10 more people join his service and this will result as a worse odds change for me to catch the good lines. I can not name, but be sure, there are around good ones, just like there are around good ones for South America and European Lower leagues and also Asian Leagues. Important is to find. You made the mistake with following some good tipster who made his record in Italy, Spain, Greece etc, but then picked Finland. Surely will he lose. Just like you may lose if you try to pick Iceland League or Korean League etc. But there is no -Summer Football- Summer for who? This is the question. Surely i dont want to criticize you. Just my opinions, experience. And thoughts. Enjoy...
  21 hours ago

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  Kawabunga The-Insider again thanks for your excellent comment, for sure your experience in the betting world help a lot of people. With this " And i can tell you, for -your name- Summer Football, you should not care for some England League Two expert who just sends you England League Two picks, not even Championship League picks all the season but then, when League Two comes to an end, he starts sending Swedish Picks! Thats wrong" and this "You made the mistake with following some good tipster who made his record in Italy, Spain, Greece etc, but then picked Finland. Surely will he lose. Just like you may lose if you try to pick Iceland League or Korean League etc." is that I sent that message. Surely not all the people here, new followers, etc. has the same experience than you or other members that know about it, nor the opportunity of have 50 services at the same time, so the message was sent more for them actually, to don't make the same mistake I made past year when I started with sportsbetting (before this I was a poker player).
  
  About summer leagues, well lets exclude weather, I understand that summer is not the same in each part of the world, so lets call it "ending leagues", and its the time when tipstes (some of them) that are specialized in some area of soccer start to pick other leagues, other cups, etc... and well, maybe there's people starting on this, I don't know if the person that yesterday sent me an email asking for being included in the mailing list (for example) is actually a new bettor, or who created a blog one week ago, I can't know if he's just started past month or he has 5-10 years on the bussiness and just created a blog now to follow some tipsters at this site... of course past year my mistake was to do that (inside all the mistakes I made), to follow tipsters that were good in particular leagues and it did not mean that they would do it good in other leagues, but I was not aware of that because my leak of knowledge about this situation, so to other people don't lose money by doing the same mistake, I wanted to advice of it. My idea by having a blog is to win money (despite what I will do with the money, that's our own problem always), and if there are eventually followers then is good to prevent. Of course the alert will have no sense for some that know about it, as you for example, and will have sense for others. If someone sent me that message past year, now surely I would have lot more money in my account.
  
  Of course we all would wish that there are only specialized tipsters that when their leagues end then go to have a rest, enjoy vacations and get back when league starts again. But its not the reality of all the tipsters and the average follower. The reality is that some tipsters will make the mistake of try new leagues when their own one(s) aren't running and the average follower will follow blindly what the tipster is saying just because he sees 10% ROI there in 800 picks and will not see easily his speciality before putting money on the pick he's sending right now. In addition, we are in a gambling world, so the risk of don't gamble for some is eventually pretty hard, just because psychologically gambling is not easy to manage, so is pretty expected that some people can't stop when is time to stop, included tipsters and followers/customers/bettors etc.
  
  And about criticism, of course I don't take your comments as bad, the opposite, I appreciate them and for sure most of people here appreciate that you often take the time of writing and giving advices, I appreciate a lot more an answer like yours than a free critic without solutions.
  
  See you
  11 hours ago

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  Rob Interesting discussion, the 'summer league' thing is pretty much a South American thing isn't it, most European League don't know such a system.
  11 hours ago

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  hat7rick summer or no summer a profitable bet is usually based on having a magnitude of solid data and being able to draw valid conclusions from it. These data could be statistics, watching actual games, own football understanding and local knowledge. The more the better of course. When a tipster is posting a tip you should also evaluate the reasoning he is giving in his analysis, not just follow him blindly in my opinion unless he has really impressive roi over more than 500 picks. I am gonna be posting MLS tips because I have really good sources of information for each game and access to watching all the games.
  4 hours ago

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LIVE 188bet  Boca Juniors - Fluminense RJ » FT Home -0.5 (1:0) @ 1.94 9/10
Boca scores first goal and has next 40 minutes to improve their position before 2nd leg in Brazil. Totally dominance continues..

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PINNACLE  Bayern - Chelsea » Over 2.5 @ 2.02 10/10
See preview under. To be honest I think the game will be quite open (for a champions league final that is) and since there will be defenders in the field who are not used to this kind of pressure there could be costly mistakes.....
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PINNACLE  Bayern - Chelsea » Bayern @ 1.81 10/10
Straightforward bet from me here. Bayern has better wings than barcelona and plays more with crosses having gomez as the target man who is really good at headers. Ivanovic and Terry will not be playing to parry these threats and Cahill/luiz are just returning from injuries so they won't be full fit/ready to play their A game. Bayern is a better team both individually and as a team and even though the fanbase will be neutral the environment/stadium will be more familiar to bayern who will be more comfortable playing there. chelsea will still pose a threat with mata/drogba/lambard up front so they could nick one. Bayern win 2-1 in my opinion in what could be a tight match but with both teams playing with alternatives options in their defense we should see some goals. I just feel sorry for chelsea fans because they came so far. It ends here, parking the bus won't work against bayern and ramires is not here to save the day;)...
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LIVE 188bet  Boca Juniors - Fluminense RJ » FT Home -1 (0:0) @ 2.04 10/10
Boca with totally dominance. They get easily into chances..

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VCbet  Canada - Finland » Canada -1.5 sets @ 2.25 4/10
Finland without Konstantin Shumov and other important players. Canada is hosting this group of world league and will have public support. Unfortunately, odds have fallen dramatically (it was more than 3 to victory Canada), but I think there still is value....
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PINNACLE  Caja Laboral - Bilbao » Caja Laboral (-5.5) @ 1.87 8/10
Bilbao was supposed to be motivated in last game of the season vs Caja, but lost clearly by 30 points. It confirms that they are not in best shape lately and this was not incident, that they lost vs Malaga. Banic and Jakcson can't find the form, they were showing in EL and the team depend a lot on them. On the other hand Caja plays better and better after Nocioni and Lampe joined the team. It looks both started to understand set plays and work well in the team. San Emeterio and Prigioni had some injury problems, but this 10 days break before play offs , was good for them. -5,5@ 1,9 Expekt, Sportingbet, ... PS. Some livescores showed final score 77-70, but Bibao hit buzzer beater for 3, which not all livescores counted at first. In last minute Caja hit only 4/8 from FT line and after Ribas missed FT , Bilbao rebounded and Jackson hit this BB .... ehhh :(...
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21 hours ago   Like  Comment

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  Lukas Hardly, but won. Congrats. I caught Laboral -1,5 on LIVE after 3rd quarter. :)
  7 hours ago

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  michelle What is the final result of Caja - Bilbao ? Somewhere is 77-70, somewhere is 77-73...
  7 hours ago

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  Lukas 77-70
  7 hours ago

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  huntip i had -6.5, phew
  7 hours ago

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  Andrea me too, thanks mate =)
  7 hours ago

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  huntip well, my bet seems to be lost at the bookie, and also on ACB website the result is 77-73. damn
  7 hours ago

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  EuroQuite damn :/
  7 hours ago

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  basketer Some livescores showed final score 77-70, but Bibao hit buzzer beater for 3, which not all livescores counted at first. In last minute Caja hit only 4/8 from FT line and after Ribas missed FT , Bilbao rebounded and Jackson hit this BB .... ehhh :(
  7 hours ago

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  michelle Jackson´s tree pointer with the final whistle :(
  7 hours ago

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  adryan87 So,bad luck :(
  7 hours ago

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  Mic Really bullshit ;(
  5 hours ago

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  Daniel wtf
  5 hours ago

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PINNACLE  Cork - UCD » UCD @ 6.36 1/10
There is only a three points difference between both teams in the table and in fact the difference in quality of both teams is not that big in my mind. Cork in their first year after promotion had an awful start. There are performing much better in recent weeks though. They won a few games, particularly at home and got finally points on the board. However they're facing injury problems tomorrow. Quite a few potential first team regulars are injured or in doubt and could make life tough.   UCD is the unpredictable quantity as usual. Some day good, another day bad. The normal thing with the young students team. Martin Russell is doing a fantastic job and the team does perform more often than not well enough or at least always with passion. They didn't win in their last seven games but they earned a fantastic remis at Tallaght two weeks ago, coming back from 2-0 down. They also won against Cork this season already. I think this game is much more open than the odds suggesting. UCD is a team that can beat anyone on a good day and with all the injury problems that Cork have at the moment it looks not as though as if Cork is a banker here. Far from it.  ...
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PINNACLE  Brazil - Poland » over 3.5 set's @ 1.57 5/10
Brazil without Giba and Murilo. Polish team should win at least 1 set. Match played in neutral ground (Canada).

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PINNACLE  San Antonio - LA Clippers » LA Clippers (+10.5) @ 2.04 7/10
Clippers MUST fight in this match. I don't think that they can win tonight, but it's most important for them to stay attached to the match to the end. This means not huge spreads in the middle of the match, and i don't think that Spurs can win the 4th quarter with more than 5-6 points spread. I repeat it, i think that this series will be very short, but i'm not a Clippers player, they must believe that they can do something. As Kobe for Lakers, CP3 will give his best tonight to keep his team going. Stake 7 here, because Spurs are really monstrous. I'm 90% sure about this bet, and as i wrote in my blog i only go stake 10 on bet about which i'm 100% sure (not talking of fixed matchs obviously :D)....
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21 hours ago   Like  Comment

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  Lukas Well well well, just have a look who is with Clippers tonight :D I was thinking about the same. But last time you were right and I was overrated Clippers. I'm afraid to burn second time in a row because of them :D
  7 hours ago

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  Andrea ahahah. Trust me! so that we can both win ^_^
  7 hours ago

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  poglavica No way the Clippers stay anyway near to a double-digit loss, just my opinion. No matter how hard the Clippers will try to stay close, the Spurs are just too hot right now and in every game someone else from their deep bench steps up like Leonard in game 1. However, I took the safety of the over 194.5 with great odds at 2.02 (yesterday morning). I've already burned my fingers with some tough last quarter losses seeing my spreads going down the toilet ... The over should be much safer than the point spread tonight. We shall see around 6:00 CET in the morning ...
  7 hours ago

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  Andrea i was tempted to bet on over too, but this bet was more "interesting" for me. Clippers will lose, i'm pretty sure, but not again with more than 10 points spread. If it happens we'll see another series sweeped from Spurs.. Anyway nearly in march i bet 5 units on spurs and OKC winning eastern conference.. both odds were 4+ :D we'll see .D
  6 hours ago

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  poglavica I took the Spurs to win the Western Conference at 4.50 (William Hill) in March and also at 3.00 later in April. However, I don't see the Clippers much closer than in game 1. This one should end around 109-95.
  6 hours ago

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PINNACLE  Indiana - Miami » Indiana ML @ 2.20 6/10
I don't believe in Heat this season and I can't see them winning NBA title. Bosh is out, Heat have no long bench and I can't image how 2 players can win the title. So I can see a good chance for Pacers in this series. They managed to tie the series 1-1 and now they have home court advantage. Although last match they won only by +3, they were totally better team in this game and they really deserved it. Also, they were close until the last 3 minutes in the first game and although they lost by -9, the result doesn't show anything. They were fighting 45 minutes and only in the last minutes, they let away Heat.As I said, Bosh is out for Heat and it could cause a big problems under the basket. On the other hand, Pacers have very strong home advantage. Last time when teams met in regular season at Indiana, Pacers won easily 105-90. I believe Pacers can take this and I see both teams chances 55/45. Small favorites are Pacers in my eyes....
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6 hours ago   Like  Comment

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• 

  Andrea ahahah. we're still one again each other :D you have to stop it!!! :D
  6 hours ago

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  Lukas last two times when we bet one against each other, both times you won. :D maybe it's time for my turn :D Also, last 6! my nba picks was lost and from +42 units, i have only +8 in nba now :D it's time to stop this bad period :/
  6 hours ago

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  Andrea if you want to stop bet like me hihihi :D i'm joking.. i partially agree with you, but miami are the second favourites for the title, after my loved spurs :D
  6 hours ago

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  Lukas for me, two main candidates to win the title are Thunder and Spurs. And only then Heat(with Bosh; without him I expect Heat struggling even in this series).
  6 hours ago

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  poglavica I totally agree here with you Lukas. I don't see the Heat winning this one tonight, not only because of Bosh, but also because the Pacers can really do some damage at least in one of the two home games, and I expect that to happen tonight, riding on that huge win in game 2. GL!
  6 hours ago

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Gamebookers  Russia – Serbia » Serbia (+10.5) @ 1.85 7/10
Russia's team flew to Japan in the reserve statement. Trainer Vladimir Alekno put on substitutes and he is in the country. Serbia recently played badly, but they are dangerous and has a good chance to beat the handicap. Unverified odds, because OOO is on offer only 12, with no handicap....
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PINNACLE  Houston - Milwaukee Brewers » Milwaukee Brewers ML @ 1.75 5/10
Still 3 lost the 4 previous games and it's really too much for this kind of team.And Shaun Marcum is really over J.A. Happ.It's why i expect and easy win tonight even if the odd it's a few less high than i would like.Good luck every one.Top play.          ...
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NHL Los Angeles Kings-Phoenix Coyotes double chance X2

6 hours ago   Like  Comment

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  bettinghouse.eu They played three times in regular season at Los Angeles-one home win, one draw, one away win, so statisticly everything is possible tonight
  6 hours ago

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